2024 Oscars: Best Visual Effects Predictions
The Oscar for Best Visual Effects is particularly tough to predict because of the complicated system by which the nominees are determined in three stages. The members of the executive committee of the branch cast preferential ballots to determine 20 films for further consideration. These are then winnowed down to 10 semi-finalists, which will be announced on December 21, 2023. (Scroll down for the most up-to-date 2023 Oscars Best Visual Effects predictions.)
All members of the branch are invited to a virtual screening of excerpts from these 10 films in January at which potential nominees may discuss their work. Ballots are counted using a system of re-weighted range voting to determine the five nominees, which will be revealed on January 23. The entire voting membership of the academy will then vote for the winners, which will be revealed during the 96th Academy Awards ceremony on March 10.
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When it comes to picking the winner of Best Visual Effects, you can’t go wrong with the film that is most reliant on effects to tell its story. Recent winners “Avatar: The Way of Water” (2023), “Dune” (2022), “Tenet” (2021), “Blade Runner 2049” (2018), “The Jungle Book” (2017), “Gravity” (2014), “Life of Pi” (2013), “Avatar” (2010) and “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (2009) would have been impossible to make without the advent of computer-generated effects. Titles that blend such CGI with old-school practical effects, such as “1917” (2020), “First Man” (2019), “Interstellar” (2015), “Hugo” (2012), and “Inception” (2011), have also prevailed in recent times.
Please note: To read full descriptions of each film, check out our 2024 Oscars Best Picture predictions.
UPDATED: November 17, 2023
LEADING CONTENDERS
“Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania” (Disney)
“The Creator” (20th Century)
“Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny” (Disney)
“Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3” (Disney)
“Napoleon” (Apple/Columbia)
“Oppenheimer” (Universal)
“Rebel Moon” (Netflix)
“Wonka” (Warner Bros.)
STRONG CONTENDERS
“Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves” (Paramount)
“Gran Turismo” (Sony)
“The Hunger Games: The Ballad Of Songbirds And Snakes” (Lionsgate)
“Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple/Paramount)
“The Little Mermaid” (Disney)
“Mission: Impossible — Dead Reckoning Part One” (Paramount)
“65” (Sony)
“Transformers: Rise of the Beasts” (Paramount)
POSSIBLE CONTENDERS
“Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom” (Warner Bros.)
“Asteroid City” (Focus)
“Fast X” (Universal)
“Haunted Mansion” (Disney)
“The Marvels” (Disney)
“Shazam! Fury of the Gods” (Warner Bros.)
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