2024 Oscars: Best Costume Design Predictions

If you want to win an Oscar for Best Costume Design, it’s best to pick a project for which you can create frilly dresses from a bygone era. Since its introduction at the 1948 Academy Awards, this category has favored period pictures, including the 2021 winner “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom.” Voters love to reward the creative forces behind such films, especially those that are about the aristocracy including recent champs “Marie Antoinette” (2007), “Elizabeth: The Golden Age” (2008), “The Duchess” (2009), “The Young Victoria” (2010), and “Anna Karenina” (2013). (Scroll down for the most up-to-date 2023 Oscars Best Costume Design predictions.)

By the way, none of those films even competed for Best Picture. Indeed, only 20 of the most recent 73 Best Picture champs also won this award. Among these was “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” (2004). Fantasy films such as this often boast Oscar-winning costumes, including 2022 champ “Cruella,” 2019 winner “Black Panther” and its sequel Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (2023) plus recent picks “Alice in Wonderland” (2011),  “Mad Max: Fury Road” (2016) and “Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them” (2017).

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Recreating the various looks of the early 20th century has also proven an effective way to win as evidenced by “The Aviator” (2005), “The Artist” (2012), and “The Great Gatsby” (2014). Voters are also delighted to travel to exotic locales as with “Memoirs of a Geisha” (2006) and “The Grand Budapest Hotel” (2015).

The one era that does not have costumes that usually appeal to academy members is the modern-day. You have to go all the way back to “The Adventures of Priscilla, Queen of the Desert” (1995) to find a film set in the present day that won for its costumes, and that one benefited from being about drag queens.

UPDATED: September 14, 2023

LEADING CONTENDERS
Colleen Atwood, “The Little Mermaid” (Disney)
Mark Bridges, “Maestro” (Netflix)
Milena Canonero, “Asteroid City” (Focus)
David Crossman and Janty Yates, “Napoleon” (Apple/Columbia)
Jacqueline Durran, “Barbie” (Warner Bros.)
Lindy Hemming, “Wonka” (Warner Bros.)
Francine Jamison-Tanchuck, “The Color Purple” (Warner Bros.)
Ellen Mirojnick, “Oppenheimer” (Universal)
Holly Waddington, “Poor Things” (Searchlight)
Jacqueline West, “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple/Paramount)

STRONG CONTENDERS
Stacey Battat, “Priscilla” (A24)
Erin Benach, “The Bikeriders” (20th Century)
Massimo Cantini Parrini, “Ferrari” (Neon)
Jenny Eagen, “The Boys in the Boat” (Amazon)
Oliver Garcia, “Chevalier” (Searchlight)
Toni-Leslie James, “Rustin” (Netflix)
Joanna Johnston, “Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny” (Disney)
Malgorzata Karpiuk, “The Zone of Interest” (A24)
Judianna Makovsky, “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3” (Disney)
Eimer Ni Mhaoldomhnaigh, “Freud’s Last Session” (Sony)
Sammy Sheldon, “A Haunting in Venice” (20th Century)

POSSIBLE CONTENDERS
Terry Anderson, “Gran Turismo” (Sony)
Alice Babidge, “Beau Is Afraid” (A24)
Sophie Canale, “Saltburn” (Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer)
Dominique Dawson, “Origin” (Neon)
Joanna Eatwell, “One Life” (Warner Bros.)
“El Conde” (Netflix) — (designer TBD)
Charlese Antoinette Jones, “Air” (Amazon/Warner Bros.)
“The Killer” (Netflix) — (designer TBD)
Amanda Monk, “Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves” (Paramount)
April Napier, “May December” (Netflix)

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