2024 Oscar predictions: Our official odds in all 23 categories

David Buchanan
·6 min read
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The 96th Academy Awards will be presented on Sunday, Mar. 10, celebrating the best films of 2023 in 23 different categories. Scroll down for our official odds with our projected winners highlighted in gold.

Christopher Nolan‘s “Oppenheimer” heads into the ceremony with the most nominations of the year with a lucky 13, which means the film ranks as one of the most nominated movies of all time. Although it did not tie the record 14 held by “All About Eve,” “Titanic” and “La La Land,” it is tied with an impressive list of films that also scored 13 bids, including “Gone with the Wind,” “From Here to Eternity,” “Mary Poppins,” “Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?,” “Forrest Gump,” “Shakespeare in Love,” “The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring,” “Chicago,” “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” and “The Shape of Water.” Our experts, editors and users expect it to win 8 Oscars, which would make it one of only eight prior movies to win that many trophies at the Academy Awards. Some of its expected prizes will be for Best Picture, Director for Nolan, Actor for Cillian Murphy and Supporting Actor for Robert Downey Jr.

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“Poor Things” and “Killers of the Flower Moon” were the runners-up in terms of total nominations with 11 and 10, respectively. We anticipate both films to take home only a single prize each for Production Design for the former and Actress for Lily Gladstone for the latter. They will both be usurped in terms of total wins by the next-in-line nominations leader “Barbie,” which scored eight citations and should take home the awards for Costume Design and Original Song for “What Was I Made For?” by Billie Eilish and Finneas. Other leading contenders who we think will walk away with an Oscar include “American Fiction,” “Anatomy of a Fall,” “Maestro,” “The Holdovers” for Da’Vine Joy Randolph in Supporting Actress and “The Zone of Interest.”

These official odds for the 96th Oscars are derived from the predictions of our Experts, Editors, Top 24 Users, All-Star Top 24 and all our Users, who make up the largest and often savviest bloc of predictors. See below for our complete official odds in all 23 categories, and make or update your predictions by Mar. 10 before the ceremony begins.

BEST PICTURE
Oppenheimer — 6/1
The Holdovers — 15/2
Poor Things — 8/1
Anatomy of a Fall — 17/2
Killers of the Flower Moon — 9/1
Barbie — 19/2
American Fiction — 19/2
The Zone of Interest — 21/2
Maestro — 13/1
Past Lives — 14/1

BEST DIRECTOR
Christopher Nolan, “Oppenheimer” — 3/1
Yorgos Lanthimos, “Poor Things” — 4/1
Jonathan Glazer, “The Zone of Interest” — 9/2
Justine Triet, “Anatomy of a Fall” — 9/2
Martin Scorsese, “Killers of the Flower Moon” — 9/2

BEST ACTRESS
Lily Gladstone, “Killers of the Flower Moon” — 82/25
Emma Stone, “Poor Things” — 18/5
Sandra Hüller, “Anatomy of a Fall” —  9/2
Carey Mulligan, “Maestro” — 9/2
Annette Bening, “Nyad” — 9/2

BEST ACTOR
Cillian Murphy, “Oppenheimer” — 16/5
Paul Giamatti, “The Holdovers” — 37/10
Bradley Cooper, “Maestro” — 9/2
Jeffrey Wright, “American Fiction” — 9/2
Colman Domingo, “Rustin” — 9/2

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Da’Vine Joy Randolph, “The Holdovers” — 3/1
Emily Blunt, “Oppenheimer” — 4/1
Danielle Brooks, “The Color Purple” — 9/2
America Ferrera, “Barbie” —  9/2
Jodie Foster, “Nyad” — 9/2

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Robert Downey Jr., “Oppenheimer” — 3/1
Ryan Gosling, “Barbie” — 4/1
Mark Ruffalo, “Poor Things” — 9/2
Robert De Niro, “Killers of the Flower Moon” — 9/2
Sterling K. Brown, “American Fiction” — 9/2

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
American Fiction — 17/5
Oppenheimer — 37/10
Barbie — 4/1
Poor Things — 9/2
The Zone of Interest — 9/2

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Anatomy of a Fall — 31/10
The Holdovers — 37/10
Past Lives — 9/2
Maestro — 9/2
May December — 9/2

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Oppenheimer — 3/1
Killers of the Flower Moon — 4/1
Poor Things — 4/1
Maestro — 9/2
El Conde — 9/2

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Barbie — 10/3
Poor Things — 7/2
Killers of the Flower Moon — 9/2
Oppenheimer — 9/2
Napoleon — 9/2

BEST FILM EDITING
Oppenheimer — 3/1
Anatomy of a Fall — 4/1
Killers of the Flower Moon — 9/2
Poor Things — 9/2
The Holdovers — 9/2

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Maestro — 16/5
Poor Things — 18/5
Oppenheimer — 9/2
Society of the Snow — 9/2
Golda — 9/2

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Poor Things — 17/5
Barbie — 7/2
Oppenheimer — 4/1
Killers of the Flower Moon — 9/2
Napoleon — 9/2

BEST SCORE
Oppenheimer — 3/1
Killers of the Flower Moon — 4/1
Poor Things — 9/2
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny — 9/2
American Fiction — 9/2

BEST SONG
Barbie, “What Was I Made For?” — 31/10
Barbie, “I’m Just Ken” — 37/10
American Symphony, “It Never Went Away” — 9/2
Flamin’ Hot, “The Fire Inside” — 9/2
Killers of the Flower Moon, “Wahzhazhe – A Song for My People” — 9/2

BEST SOUND
Oppenheimer — 31/10
The Zone of Interest — 37/10
Maestro — 9/2
Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One — 9/2
The Creator — 9/2

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Godzilla Minus One — 82/25
The Creator — 37/10
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 — 9/2
Napoleon — 9/2
Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One — 9/2

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse — 16/5
The Boy and the Heron — 71/20
Elemental — 9/2
Nimona — 9/2
Robot Dreams — 9/2

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
20 Days in Mariupol — 3/1
Four Daughters — 4/1
The Eternal Memory — 9/2
Bobi Wine: The People’s President — 9/2
To Kill a Tiger — 9/2

BEST INTERNATIONAL FILM
The Zone of Interest —  59/20
Society of the Snow — 4/1
The Teachers’ Lounge — 9/2
Perfect Days — 9/2
Io Capitano — 9/2

BEST ANIMATED SHORT
WAR IS OVER! Inspired by the Music of John and Yoko — 69/20
Letter to a Pig — 7/2
Ninety-Five Senses — 4/1
Pachyderme — 9/2
Our Uniform — 9/2

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
The ABCs of Book Banning — 10/3
The Last Repair Shop — 37/10
Nǎi Nai and Wài Pó — 4/1
The Barber of Little Rock — 9/2
Island in Between — 9/2

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar — 31/10
Red, White and Blue — 4/1
The After — 4/1
Invincible — 9/2
Knight of Fortune — 9/2

PREDICT the 2024 Oscar winners through March 10

Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone devices or Android (Google Play) to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. See our latest prediction champs. Can you top our esteemed leaderboards next? Always remember to keep your predictions updated because they impact our latest racetrack odds, which terrify Hollywood chiefs and stars. Don’t miss the fun. Speak up and share your huffy opinions in our famous forums where 5,000 showbiz leaders lurk every day to track latest awards buzz. Everybody wants to know: What do you think? Who do you predict and why?

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