2024 Oscar nominations predictions: Our official odds in all 23 categories

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The nominations for the 96th Oscars will be revealed on Tuesday, January 23, with the corresponding awards ceremony set to take place nearly seven weeks later on Sunday, March 10. As usual, the various branches of the film academy (and the entire membership, in the case of Best Picture) voted for the finalists in their artistic areas over a five-day period (Jan. 11-16). Scroll down to see our official nominations predictions in all 23 Oscar categories.

Close to 9,000 Gold Derby users – some of whom are classified as Experts, Editors, Top 24 Users, or All-Star Top 24 Users – have logged their forecasted Oscar lineups and thus collectively shaped our official odds, as listed below. In each category, the anticipated contenders are ranked in order of likelihood, with the projected winner highlighted in gold.

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Do your own expectations match the consensus? Be sure to head to our predictions center and make or update your picks before time runs out.

BEST PICTURE
“Oppenheimer” – 13/2
“Killers of the Flower Moon” – 15/2
“Barbie” – 8/1
“Poor Things” – 17/2
“The Holdovers” – 17/2
“American Fiction” – 10/1
“Maestro” – 11/1
“Past Lives” – 11/1
“Anatomy of a Fall” – 13/1
“The Zone of Interest” – 18/1

BEST DIRECTOR
Christopher Nolan, “Oppenheimer” – 10/3
Martin Scorsese, “Killers of the Flower Moon” – 9/2
Yorgos Lanthimos, “Poor Things” – 5/1
Greta Gerwig, “Barbie” – 6/1
Jonathan Glazer, “The Zone of Interest” – 9/1

BEST ACTOR
Cillian Murphy, “Oppenheimer” – 7/2
Paul Giamatti, “The Holdovers” – 4/1
Bradley Cooper, “Maestro” – 9/2
Jeffrey Wright, “American Fiction” – 5/1
Leonardo DiCaprio, “Killers of the Flower Moon” – 15/2

BEST ACTRESS
Lily Gladstone, “Killers of the Flower Moon” – 18/5
Emma Stone, “Poor Things” – 18/5
Carey Mulligan, “Maestro” – 5/1
Sandra Hüller, “Anatomy of a Fall” – 11/2
Margot Robbie, “Barbie” – 7/1

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Robert Downey Jr., “Oppenheimer” – 17/5
Ryan Gosling, “Barbie” – 9/2
Robert De Niro, “Killers of the Flower Moon” – 5/1
Mark Ruffalo, “Poor Things” – 11/2
Charles Melton, “May December” – 9/1

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Da’Vine Joy Randolph, “The Holdovers” – 10/3
Danielle Brooks, “The Color Purple” – 9/2
Emily Blunt, “Oppenheimer” – 5/1
Jodie Foster, “Nyad” – 6/1
Julianne Moore, “May December” – 10/1

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
“Oppenheimer” – 19/5
“Poor Things” – 4/1
“Killers of the Flower Moon” – 9/2
“American Fiction” – 9/2
“Barbie” – 13/2

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
”The Holdovers” – 69/20
“Past Lives” – 4/1
“Anatomy of a Fall” – 9/2
“May December” – 13/2
“Maestro” – 8/1

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
“Oppenheimer” – 69/20
“Killers of the Flower Moon” – 4/1
“Poor Things” – 9/2
“Maestro” – 5/1
“The Zone of Interest” – 15/2

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
”Barbie” – 7/2
“Poor Things” – 39/10
“Killers of the Flower Moon” – 9/2
“The Color Purple” – 8/1
“Wonka” – 17/2

BEST FILM EDITING
”Oppenheimer” – 17/5
“Killers of the Flower Moon” – 9/2
“Poor Things” – 5/1
“Barbie” – 6/1
“The Holdovers” – 15/2

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
”Maestro” – 17/5
“Poor Things” – 4/1
“Oppenheimer” – 9/2
“Golda” – 15/2
“Society of the Snow” – 10/1

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
”Barbie” – 71/20
“Poor Things” – 4/1
“Oppenheimer” – 9/2
“Killers of the Flower Moon” – 5/1
“The Color Purple” – 14/1

BEST SCORE
”Oppenheimer” – 17/5
“Killers of the Flower Moon” – 9/2
“Poor Things” – 5/1
“Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” – 6/1
“The Zone of Interest” – 19/2

BEST SONG
”What Was I Made For?,” “Barbie” – 69/20
“I’m Just Ken,” “Barbie” – 4/1
“Road to Freedom,” “Rustin” – 5/1
“The Fire Inside,” “Flamin’ Hot” – 8/1
“Keep It Movin’,” “The Color Purple” – 17/2

BEST SOUND
”Oppenheimer” – 10/3
“Maestro” – 4/1
“Killers of the Flower Moon” – 11/2
“The Zone of Interest” – 6/1
“Ferrari” – 6/1

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
”Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3” – 39/10
“The Creator” – 4/1
“Poor Things” – 11/2
“Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” – 7/1
“Godzilla Minus One” – 7/1

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
”Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” – 69/20
“The Boy and the Heron” – 39/10
“Elemental” – 9/2
“Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem” – 13/2
“Nimona” – 15/2

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
”American Symphony” – 39/10
“20 Days in Mariupol” – 4/1
“Four Daughters” – 9/2
“Beyond Utopia” – 5/1
“Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie” – 7/1

BEST INTERNATIONAL FILM
”The Zone of Interest” – 10/3
“Society of the Snow” – 9/2
“Fallen Leaves” – 11/2
“The Taste of Things” – 13/2
“Perfect Days” – 10/1

BEST ANIMATED SHORT
”Once Upon a Studio” – 9/2
“Letter to a Pig” – 5/1
“Pete” – 5/1
“WAR IS OVER! Inspired by the Music of John and Yoko” – 11/2
“Eeva” – 17/2

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
”The ABCs of Book Banning” – 39/10
“The Last Repair Shop” – 9/2
“Last Song from Kabul” – 11/2
“The Barber of Little Rock” – 11/2
“Deciding Vote” – 13/2

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
”The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar” – 71/20
“The Anne Frank Gift Shop” – 5/1
“The After” – 6/1
“The Shepherd” – 7/1
“Strange Way of Life” – 7/1

PREDICT the 2024 Oscar nominations through January 23

Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone devices or Android (Google Play) to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. See our latest prediction champs. Can you top our esteemed leaderboards next? Always remember to keep your predictions updated because they impact our latest racetrack odds, which terrify Hollywood chiefs and stars. Don’t miss the fun. Speak up and share your huffy opinions in our famous forums where 5,000 showbiz leaders lurk every day to track latest awards buzz. Everybody wants to know: What do you think? Who do you predict and why?

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