2024 Golden Globes predictions: Our official odds in all 27 film and TV categories

David Buchanan
·7 min read
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The 81st Golden Globe Awards will be presented on Sunday, Jan. 7, celebrating the past extraordinary year in both television and film. Scroll down for our official odds in all 27 film and TV categories with our projected winners highlighted in gold.

On the film side of the ceremony, “Barbie” heads into the night with the most nominations (nine), and we expect a “Barbenheimer” smash as both it and “Oppenheimer” will go home with four trophies apiece. That would mean “Oppenheimer” bats .500 on its eight nominations; other strong contenders that we predict will win awards include “Killers of the Flower Moon” and “Poor Things,” which both netted seven nominations.

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For television, “Succession” made history with the most nominations in a single year (nine) and will take home the most awards of the night with four. “The Bear” is next in line with five nominations, and we expect it will claim three of those. “Only Murders in the Building” scored five bids as well, but our odds suggest only Globes favorite Meryl Streep will win. Of the limited series, “Beef” is expected to win multiple prizes, too.

These official odds for the Golden Globes are derived from the predictions of our Experts, Editors, Top 24 Users, All-Star Top 24 and all our Users who make up the largest bloc of predictors. See below for our complete official odds in all film and television categories, and make or update your predictions by Jan. 7 before the ceremony begins.

FILM

BEST FILM DRAMA
Oppenheimer — 17/5
Killers of the Flower Moon — 39/10
Past Lives — 11/2
Maestro — 11/2
Anatomy of a Fall — 13/2
The Zone of Interest — 7/1

BEST FILM DRAMA ACTRESS
Lily Gladstone, “Killers of the Flower Moon” — 17/5
Sandra Hüller, “Anatomy of a Fall” — 9/2
Carey Mulligan, “Maestro” — 9/2
Greta Lee, “Past Lives” — 11/2
Annette Bening, “Nyad” — 13/2
Cailee Spaeny, “Priscilla” — 15/2

BEST FILM DRAMA ACTOR
Bradley Cooper, “Maestro” — 7/2
Cillian Murphy, “Oppenheimer” — 37/10
Leonardo DiCaprio, “Killers of the Flower Moon” — 5/1
Colman Domingo, “Rustin” — 6/1
Andrew Scott, “All of Us Strangers” — 13/2
Barry Keoghan, “Saltburn” — 7/1

BEST FILM COMEDY/MUSICAL
Barbie — 18/5
Poor Things — 19/5
American Fiction — 5/1
The Holdovers — 11/2
May December — 13/2
Air — 15/2

BEST FILM COMEDY/MUSICAL ACTRESS
Emma Stone, “Poor Things” — 10/3
Margot Robbie, “Barbie” — 4/1
Fantasia Barrino, “The Color Purple” — 5/1
Natalie Portman, “May December” — 11/2
Alma Poysti, “Fallen Leaves” — 7/1
Jennifer Lawrence, “No Hard Feelings” — 7/1

BEST FILM COMEDY/MUSICAL ACTOR
Paul Giamatti, “The Holdovers” — 17/5
Jeffrey Wright, “American Fiction” — 19/5
Matt Damon, “Air” — 11/2
Timothée Chalamet, “Wonka” — 11/2
Nicolas Cage, “Dream Scenario” — 13/2
Joaquin Phoenix, “Beau Is Afraid” — 7/1

BEST FILM SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Da’Vine Joy Randolph, “The Holdovers” — 69/20
Danielle Brooks, “The Color Purple” — 4/1
Emily Blunt, “Oppenheimer” — 5/1
Julianne Moore, “May December” — 6/1
Jodie Foster, “Nyad” — 13/2
Rosamund Pike, “Saltburn” — 13/2

BEST FILM SUPPORTING ACTOR
Robert Downey Jr., “Oppenheimer” — 71/20
Ryan Gosling, “Barbie” — 4/1
Charles Melton, “May December” — 5/1
Mark Ruffalo, “Poor Things” — 11/2
Robert De Niro, “Killers of the Flower Moon” — 13/2
Willem Dafoe, “Poor Things” — 7/1

BEST FILM DIRECTOR
Christopher Nolan, “Oppenheimer” — 10/3
Martin Scorsese, “Killers of the Flower Moon” — 4/1
Greta Gerwig, “Barbie” — 5/1
Yorgos Lanthimos, “Poor Things” — 11/2
Celine Song, “Past Lives” — 13/2
Bradley Cooper, “Maestro” — 7/1

BEST FILM SCREENPLAY
Barbie — 19/5
Poor Things — 9/2
Oppenheimer — 5/1
Past Lives — 5/1
Killers of the Flower Moon — 6/1
Anatomy of a Fall — 13/2

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse — 17/5
The Boy and the Heron — 19/5
Elemental — 5/1
The Super Mario Bros. Movie — 6/1
Suzume — 13/2
Wish — 15/2

BEST NON-ENGLISH FILM
Anatomy of a Fall — 18/5
Past Lives — 39/10
The Zone of Interest — 9/2
Fallen Leaves — 6/1
Society of the Snow — 13/2
Io Capitano — 15/2

BEST SCORE
Oppenheimer — 17/5
Poor Things — 9/2
Killers of the Flower Moon — 5/1
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse — 11/2
The Boy and the Heron — 13/2
The Zone of Interest — 7/1

BEST SONG
Barbie, “What Was I Made For?” — 69/20
Barbie, “I’m Just Ken” — 4/1
Barbie, “Dance the Night” — 11/2
The Super Mario Bros. Movie, “Peaches” — 11/2
Rustin, “Road to Freedom” — 6/1
She Came to Me, “Addicted to Romance” — 7/1

CINEMATIC AND BOX OFFICE ACHIEVEMENT
Barbie — 4/1
Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour — 11/2
Oppenheimer — 6/1
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse — 15/2
The Super Mario Bros. Movie — 17/2
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 — 9/2
Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One — 19/2
John Wick: Chapter 4 — 10/1

TV

DRAMA SERIES
Succession — 82/25
The Last of Us — 4/1
The Crown — 5/1
The Morning Show — 6/1
The Diplomat — 13/2
1923 — 7/1

TV DRAMA ACTOR
Kieran Culkin, “Succession” — 71/20
Pedro Pascal, “The Last of Us” — 4/1
Jeremy Strong, “Succession” — 9/2
Gary Oldman, “Slow Horses” — 11/2
Brian Cox, “Succession” — 13/2
Dominic West, “The Crown” — 7/1

TV DRAMA ACTRESS
Sarah Snook, “Succession” — 17/5
Bella Ramsey, “The Last of Us” — 4/1
Keri Russell, “The Diplomat” — 5/1
Imelda Staunton, “The Crown” — 6/1
Emma Stone, “The Curse” — 6/1
Helen Mirren, “1923” — 7/1

COMEDY SERIES
The Bear — 17/5
Jury Duty — 9/2
Only Murders in the Building — 5/1
Abbott Elementary — 11/2
Ted Lasso — 6/1
Barry — 7/1

TV COMEDY ACTOR
Jeremy Allen White, “The Bear” — 10/3
Bill Hader, “Barry” — 9/2
Jason Sudeikis, “Ted Lasso” — 9/2
Martin Short, “Only Murders in the Building” — 11/2
Steve Martin, “Only Murders in the Building” — 13/2
Jason Segel, “Shrinking” — 7/1

TV COMEDY ACTRESS
Ayo Edebiri, “The Bear” — 7/2
Quinta Brunson, “Abbott Elementary” — 4/1
Natasha Lyonne, “Poker Face” — 5/1
Selena Gomez, “Only Murders in the Building” — 6/1
Rachel Brosnahan, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” — 6/1
Elle Fanning, “The Great” — 7/1

TV LIMITED SERIES/MOVIE
Beef — 10/3
Fargo — 9/2
Daisy Jones & The Six — 5/1
Lessons in Chemistry — 11/2
Fellow Travelers — 6/1
All the Light We Cannot See — 7/1

TV LIMITED/MOVIE ACTOR
Steven Yeun, “Beef” — 10/3
Jon Hamm, “Fargo” — 4/1
Matt Bomer, “Fellow Travelers” — 9/2
David Oyelowo, “Lawmen: Bass Reeves” — 6/1
Sam Claflin, “Daisy Jones & The Six” — 13/2
Woody Harrelson, “White House Plumbers” — 7/1

TV LIMITED/MOVIE ACTRESS
Ali Wong, “Beef” — 17/5
Brie Larson, “Lessons in Chemistry” — 4/1
Riley Keough, “Daisy Jones & The Six” — 5/1
Juno Temple, “Fargo” — 11/2
Rachel Weisz, “Dead Ringers” — 6/1
Elizabeth Olson, “Love and Death” — 7/1

TV SUPPORTING ACTOR
Matthew Macfadyen, “Succession” — 71/20
James Marsden, “Jury Duty” — 39/10
Ebon Moss-Bachrach, “The Bear” — 5/1
Billy Crudup, “The Morning Show” — 6/1
Alan Ruck, “Succession” — 13/2
Alexander Skarsgård, “Succession” — 7/1

TV SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Meryl Streep, “Only Murders in the Building” — 18/5
Elizabeth Debicki, “The Crown” — 39/10
Abby Elliott, “The Bear” — 11/2
Hannah Waddingham, “Ted Lasso” — 11/2
J. Smith-Cameron, “Succession” — 11/2
Christina Ricci, “Yellowjackets” — 7/1

TV STAND-UP COMEDY PERFORMANCE
Chris Rock: Selective Outrage — 18/5
Trevor Noah: Where Was I? — 9/2
Ricky Gervais: Armageddon — 9/2
Wanda Sykes: I’m An Entertainer — 11/2
Sarah Silverman: Someone You Love — 6/1
Amy Schumer: Emergency Contact — 15/2

PREDICT the 2024 Golden Globes through January 7

Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone devices or Android (Google Play) to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. See our latest prediction champs. Can you top our esteemed leaderboards next? Always remember to keep your predictions updated because they impact our latest racetrack odds, which terrify Hollywood chiefs and stars. Don’t miss the fun. Speak up and share your huffy opinions in our famous forums where 5,000 showbiz leaders lurk every day to track latest awards buzz. Everybody wants to know: What do you think? Who do you predict and why?

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