2024 Emmys Supporting Actor Limited/TV Movie Predictions

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

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Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:

OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS

2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or TV Movie

Weekly Commentary (Updated: April 24, 2024): Jonathan Bailey, acclaimed for his performances as Olly Stevens in “Broadchurch” and Lord Anthony in “Bridgerton,” has landed his most high-profile role to date in Showtime’s “Fellow Travelers.” In his role, Bailey portrays Tim Laughlin, a young congressional staffer entangled in a romantic relationship with a World War II veteran, played by Matt Bomer. Executing an empathetic and poignant portrayal, earned him critical acclaim, including a major win at this year’s Critics Choice Awards, where he surpassed competitors such as Lewis Pullman (“Lessons in Chemistry”) and Taylor Kitsch (“Painkiller”).

Meanwhile, Robert Downey Jr., riding high from his Academy Award win for Christopher Nolan’s best picture winning drama “Oppenheimer,” could be in line to achieve a rare feat. He aims to be the first man, and third person overall, to win both an Emmy and an Oscar acting awards in the same year. In HBO/Max’s satirical black comedy “The Sympathizer,” Downey Jr. showcases his versatility by playing four distinct characters, a performance that positions him as a strong contender for his second Emmy nomination. His first came 23 years ago in supporting comedy actor in the classic “Ally McBeal.”

Also in the realm, FX’s “Shōgun” has been leading the pack as a frontrunner the past few weeks, though its prospects in the acting categories have remained uncertain given the strong competition from many seasoned nominees and winners. Tadanobu Asano is emerging as a standout contender, while his co-stars Takehiro Hira and Yûki Kedôin are also potential inclusions, enhancing the series’ visibility on the awards circuit.

We’re two months from Emmy nomination voting and its already heating up.

Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Next in Line

Also in Contention

Eligible Performances (Supporting Actor, Limited/TV Movie)

**The list below is not complete and have been confirmed as officially submitted. All information is subject to change. Grouped by network that airs each series.

• Denis Ménochet — “Monsieur Spade” (AMC)

• Jason Isaacs — “The Crowded Room” (Apple TV+)

• Noah Jupe — “Franklin” (Apple TV+)

• Eddie Marsan — “Franklin” (Apple TV+)

• Beau Bridges — “Lessons in Chemistry” (Apple TV+)

• Derek Cecil — “Lessons in Chemistry” (Apple TV+)

• Lewis Pullman — “Lessons in Chemistry” (Apple TV+)

• Anthony Boyle — “Manhunt” (Apple TV+)

• Brandon Flynn — “Manhunt” (Apple TV+)

• Hamish Linklater — “Manhunt” (Apple TV+)

• Patton Oswalt — “Manhunt” (Apple TV+)

• Matt Walsh — “Manhunt” (Apple TV+)

• Anthony Boyle — “Masters of the Air” (Apple TV+)

• Ncuti Gatwa — “Masters of the Air” (Apple TV+)

• Barry Keoghan — “Masters of the Air” (Apple TV+)

• Nate Mann — “Masters of the Air” (Apple TV+)

• Henry Lloyd-Hughes — “Archie” (BritBox)

• Vincent D’Onofrio — “Echo” (Disney+)

• Zahn McClarnon — “Echo” (Disney+)

• Chaske Spencer — “Echo” (Disney+)

• Kingsley Ben-Adir — “Secret Invasion” (Disney+)

• Don Cheadle — “Secret Invasion” (Disney+)

• Ben Mendelsohn — “Secret Invasion” (Disney+)

• Maaz Ali — “American Horror Story: Delicate” (FX)

• Denis O’Hare — “American Horror Story: Delicate” (FX)

• Brian J. Smith — “Class of ’09” (FX)

• Dave Foley — “Fargo” (FX)

• Joe Keery — “Fargo” (FX)

• Lamorne Morris — “Fargo” (FX)

• David Rysdahl — “Fargo” (FX)

• Sam Spruell — “Fargo” (FX)

• Joe Mantello — “Feud: Capote vs. the Swans” (FX)

• Russell Tovey — “Feud: Capote vs. the Swans” (FX)

• Treat Williams — “Feud: Capote vs. the Swans” (FX)

• Tom Wilkinson — “The Full Monty” (FX)

• Harris Dickinson — “A Murder at the End of the World” (FX)

• Clive Owen — “A Murder at the End of the World” (FX)

• Tadanobu Asano — “Shōgun” (FX)

• Takehiro Hira — “Shōgun” (FX)

• Glynn Turman — “Black Cake” (Hulu)

• Mandy Patinkin — “Death and Other Details” (Hulu)

• Robert DeNiro — “Nada” (Hulu)

• Hunter Parrish — “The Other Black Girl” (Hulu)

• Will Ferrell — “Quiz Lady” (Hulu)

• Jason Schwartzman — “Quiz Lady” (Hulu)

• Anoop Desai — “Under the Bridge” (Hulu)

• Dali Benssalah — “The Veil” (Hulu)

• Josh Charles — “The Veil” (Hulu)

• James Purefoy — “The Veil” (Hulu)

• Henry Lloyd-Hughes — “We Were the Lucky Ones” (Hulu)

• Sam Woolf — “We Were the Lucky Ones” (Hulu)

• Curtis Tweedie — “Murdaugh Murders: The Movie – Parts 1 and 2” (Lifetime)

• Jharrel Jerome — “Full Circle” (Max)

• Timothy Olyphant — “Full Circle” (Max)

• Dennis Quaid — “Full Circle” (Max)

• Hank Azaria — “The Idol” (Max)

• Troye Sivan — “The Idol” (Max)

• Hugh Grant — “The Regime” (Max)

• Robert Downey Jr. — “The Sympathizer” (Max)

• Finn Bennett — “True Detective: Night Country” (Max)

• Christopher Eccleston — “True Detective: Night Country” (Max)

• John Hawkes — “True Detective: Night Country” (Max)

• Lennie James — “Genius: MLK/X” (National Geographic)

• Ron Cephas Jones — “Genius: MLK/X” (National Geographic)

• Hugh Laurie — “All the Light We Cannot See” (Netflix)

• Mark Ruffalo — “All the Light We Cannot See” (Netflix)

• Rory Culkin — “Black Mirror” (Netflix)

• Josh Hartnett — “Black Mirror” (Netflix)

• Simon Baker — “Boy Swallows Universe” (Netflix)

• Travis Fimmel — “Boy Swallows Universe” (Netflix)

• Anthony LaPaglia — “Boy Swallows Universe” (Netflix)

• McKinley Belcher III — “Eric” (Netflix)

• Henry Thomas — “Fall of the House of Usher” (Netflix)

• Alberto Guerra — “Griselda” (Netflix)

• Aml Ameen — “A Man in Full” (Netflix)

• Bill Camp — “A Man in Full” (Netflix)

• Tom Pelphrey — “A Man in Full” (Netflix)

• Taylor Kitsch — “Painkiller” (Netflix)

• Johnny Flynn — “Ripley” (Netflix)

• Rufus Sewell — “Scoop” (Netflix)

• Jason Clarke — “The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial” (Paramount+)

• Jake Lacy — “The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial” (Paramount+)

• Ismael Cruz Cordova — “Finestkind” (Paramount+)

• Tommy Lee Jones — “Finestkind” (Paramount+)

• Toby Wallace — “Finestkind” (Paramount+)

• Fehinti Balogun — “A Gentleman in Moscow” (Paramount+)

• Barry Pepper — “Lawmen: Bass Reeves” (Paramount+)

• Dennis Quaid — “Lawmen: Bass Reeves” (Paramount+)

• Donald Sutherland — “Lawmen: Bass Reeves” (Paramount+)

• Jake Lacy — “Apples Never Fall” (Peacock)

• Luke Kirby — “Dr. Death” (Peacock)

• Hector Elizondo — “Mr. Monk’s Last Case: A Monk Movie” (Peacock)

• Jason Gray-Stanford — “Mr. Monk’s Last Case: A Monk Movie” (Peacock)

• Ted Levine — “Mr. Monk’s Last Case: A Monk Movie” (Peacock)

• Wood Harris — “Shooting Stars” (Peacock)

• Dermot Mulroney — “Shooting Stars” (Peacock)

• Harvey Keitel — “The Tattooist of Auschwitz” (Peacock)

• Jack Huston — “Expats” (Prime Video)

• Brian Tee — “Expats” (Prime Video)

• John Cena — “Ricky Stanicky” (Prime Video)

• Clifton Collins Jr — “Red, White & Royal Blue” (Prime Video)

• Stephen Fry — “Red, White & Royal Blue” (Prime Video)

• Wayne Knight — “Them” (Prime Video)

• Jelani Alladin — “Fellow Travelers” (Showtime)

• Jonathan Bailey — “Fellow Travelers” (Showtime)

• Noah J. Ricketts — “Fellow Travelers” (Showtime)

• Linus Roache — “Fellow Travelers” (Showtime)

• Dermot Mulroney — “Ghosts of Beirut” (Showtime)

• Simon Russell Beale — “Mary & George” (Starz)

• Tony Curran — “Mary & George” (Starz)

More Information (Supporting Actor, Limited/TV Movie)

2023 category winner: Paul Walter Hauser — “Black Bird” (Apple TV+)

2024 Emmy Awards Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)

• Eligibility period: June 1, 2023 – May 31, 2024

• Feb. 29: Submissions open

• May 9: Deadline for programs that identify as Primetime programming to upload all entry materials.

• June 13: Nominations-round voting begins

• June 24: Nominations-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PT

• June 28 – July 8: Voting for peer group-specific top ten rounds panels (if applicable)

• July 17: Primetime Emmy nominations are announced.

• July 24: Deadline for errors and omissions to the nominations.

• August 5: Find-round videos available for viewing.

• August 15: Final-round voting begins.

• August 26: Final-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PST.

• Sept. 7-8: Creative Arts Emmy Awards and Governors Gala

• Sunday, Sept. 15: 76th Primetime Emmy Awards to air on ABC.

Emmy Awards Predictions

Other Awards Predictions

About the Primetime Emmy Awards

The Primetime Emmy Awards, commonly known as the Emmys, are awarded by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Established in 1949, these celebrate outstanding achievements in American primetime television. The Emmys are categorized into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for performance and production excellence, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship, and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which honor significant engineering and technological advancements. The eligibility period typically extends from June 1 to May 31 each year. The Television Academy, which hosts the Emmys, consists of over 20,000 members across 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.

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