2024 Emmys Best TV Movie Predictions
Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
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Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Television Movie
Weekly Commentary (Updated: April 24, 2024): The “TV movie” isn’t what it used to be.
The landscape of TV movies has evolved significantly. What was once the predominant format for prestigious television has now been overshadowed by limited series for the past two decades. Nonetheless, in this year’s race, critically acclaimed films across various genres will play a significant role and showcase high-quality filmmaking worth celebrating.
Three of the five PGA-nominated films in the best-streamed or televised movie category are eligible and poised as strong contenders for recognition. A standout among these is Matthew López’s romantic comedy “Red, White & Royal Blue” from Prime Video, which showcases star-making turns from Taylor Zakhar Perez and Nicholas Galitzine.
In recent years, winners in this category, such as “Dolly Parton’s Christmas on the Square,” “Chip ‘n Dale: Rescue Rangers,” and “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story,” have tended towards comedic themes. However, following Hulu’s “Fire Island” last year, another highly entertaining LGBTQ feature that narrowly missed securing the win, the Amazon film may offer the right balance of dramatic depth and prestige to make a notable impact in this competitive field.
The industry welcomed Tony Shalhoub’s return in his iconic role as Adrian Monk, garnering a positive reception. This positions Peacock’s original “Mr. Monk’s Last Case: A Monk Movie” as a notable force.
“Quiz Lady,” directed by Jessica Yu and premiered at the Toronto International Film Festival in September 2023, is supported by Hulu. This film boasts major stars like Awkwafina and Sandra Oh, who also serve as producers alongside Will Ferrell, generating significant buzz.
Read: All Primetime Emmy predictions in every category on Variety’s Awards Circuit.
And the Predicted Nominees Are
Rank | Series |
|---|---|
1 | “Red, White and Royal Blue” (Prime Video) |
2 | “Mr. Monk’s Last Case: A Monk Movie” (Peacock) |
3 | “Scoop” (Netflix) |
4 | “Quiz Lady” (Hulu) |
5 | “The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial” (Paramount+) |
Next in Line
Rank | Series |
|---|---|
6 | “Unfrosted: The Pop-Tart Story” (Netflix) |
7 | “Finestkind” (Paramount+) |
8 | “Música” (Prime Video) |
9 | “No One Will Save You” (Hulu) |
10 | “First Time Female Director” (The Roku Channel) |
Also In Contention
Rank | Series |
|---|---|
11 | “Heist 88” (Showtime) |
12 | “Vacation Friends 2” (Hulu) |
13 | “Genie” (Peacock) |
14 | “Role Play” (Prime Video) |
15 | “Upgraded” (Prime Video) |
16 | “Totally Killer” (Prime Video) |
17 | “Shooting Stars” (Peacock) |
18 | “Dashing Through the Snow” (Disney+) |
19 | “Good Burger 2” (Paramount+) |
20 | “World’s Best” (Disney+) |
Eligible Titles (Television Movie)
**The list below is not complete and have been confirmed as officially submitted. All information is subject to change. Grouped by network that airs each series.
“Dashing Through the Snow” (Disney+)
“World’s Best” (Disney+)
“EXMas” (Freevee)
“Puppy Love” (Freevee)
“No One Will Save You” (Hulu)
“Quiz Lady” (Hulu)
“Self Reliance” (Hulu)
“Vacation Friends 2” (Hulu)
“Scoop” (Netflix)
“Unfrosted: The Pop-Tart Story” (Netflix)
“The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial” (Paramount+)
“Good Burger 2” (Paramount+)
“Finestkind” (Paramount+)
“Little Wing” (Paramount+)
“Love in Taipei” (Paramount+)
“Pet Semetary: Bloodlines” (Paramount+)
“The Tiger’s Apprentice” (Paramount+)
“Zoey 102” (Paramount+)
“Bosco” (Peacock)
“Genie” (Peacock)
“If You Were the Last” (Peacock)
“Megamind vs. the Doom Syndicate” (Peacock)
“Mr. Monk’s Last Case: A Monk Movie” (Peacock)
“Please Don’t Destroy: The Treasure of Foggy Mountain” (Peacock)
“Shooting Stars” (Peacock)
“Música” (Prime Video)
“Red, White and Royal Blue” (Prime Video)
“Ricky Stanicky” (Prime Video)
“Role Play” (Prime Video)
“Totally Killer” (Prime Video)
“Upgraded” (Prime Video)
“First Time Female Director” (The Roku Channel)
“How to Fall in Love by the Holidays” (The Roku Channel)
“Heist 88” (Showtime)
More Information (Television Movie)
2023 category winner: “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (The Roku Channel) — Henry R. Muñoz III, Neil Shah and Zachary Halley, executive producers; Mike Farah, Joe Farrell, Whitney Hodack, Tim Headington, Lia Buman, Max Silva, Al Yankovic and Eric Appel, produced by
2024 Emmy Awards Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)
Eligibility period: June 1, 2023 – May 31, 2024
Feb. 29: Submissions open
May 9: Deadline for programs that identify as Primetime programming to upload all entry materials.
June 13: Nominations-round voting begins
June 24: Nominations-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PT
June 28 – July 8: Voting for peer group-specific top ten rounds panels (if applicable)
July 17: Primetime Emmy nominations are announced.
July 24: Deadline for errors and omissions to the nominations.
August 5: Find-round videos available for viewing.
August 15: Final-round voting begins.
August 26: Final-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PST.
Sept. 7-8: Creative Arts Emmy Awards and Governors Gala
Sunday, Sept. 15: 76th Primetime Emmy Awards to air on ABC.
Emmy Awards Predictions
Drama | Comedy | Limited/Movie |
|---|---|---|
Directing (Drama) | Directing (Comedy) | Directing (Limited, Movie) |
Writing (Drama) | Writing (Comedy) | Writing (Limited, Movie) |
Guest Actor (Drama) | Guest Actor (Comedy) | |
Guest Actress (Drama) | Guest Actress (Comedy) | Casting (Limited, Movie) |
Casting (Drama) | Casting (Comedy) |
Other Awards Predictions
Talk Series | Reality Competition Program | Animated Program |
Scripted Variety | Game Show | Character Voice-Over Performance |
Host for a Reality or Competition Program | Narrator | |
Structured Reality | Documentary (Series) | |
Directing (Series, Special) | Unstructured Reality | Documentary (Special) |
Writing (Series, Special) | Directing (Reality Program) | Hosted Nonfiction (Series or Special) |
Music (Limited, Movie, Special, Series, Documentary, Direction, Theme Music, Lyrics, Supervision) | Main Title Design | Writing (Nonfiction) |
Short Form Series | Short Form (Actor/Actress) | Exceptional Merit |
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, commonly known as the Emmys, are awarded by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Established in 1949, these celebrate outstanding achievements in American primetime television. The Emmys are categorized into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for performance and production excellence, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship, and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which honor significant engineering and technological advancements. The eligibility period typically extends from June 1 to May 31 each year. The Television Academy, which hosts the Emmys, consists of over 20,000 members across 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.
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