2024 Emmy nomination predictions: Reality TV contenders

See our picks for host, competition series, and more.

Real talk: The Emmy categories for reality TV programming could use some fresh blood.

Will 2024 be the year that voters finally recognize the Real Housewives or Bachelor franchises? Can The Traitors break through after just two seasons? And who will have the honor of losing to RuPaul in the Outstanding Host for a Reality or Competition Program category? Read on for answers.

Reality Competition Program

RuPaul’s Drag Race (MTV)
The Amazing Race (CBS)
The Voice (NBC)
Top Chef (Bravo)
The Big Nailed It Baking Challenge (Netflix)

There’s generally very little movement in this category, though a newcomer can occasionally break through. (See: Lizzo’s Watch Out for the Big Grrrls in 2022.) It’s possible The Traitors could steal a slot from Nailed It, but that’s about all the excitement we can expect.

Also in the mix: Survivor (CBS), The Traitors (Peacock)

Deserving dark horses: Squid Game: The Challenge (Netflix); The Golden Bachelor (ABC). One featured a brutal competition that left a single winner standing; the other was an unscripted version of the hit Korean survival drama. Both were riveting TV.

Host for a Reality or Competition Program

RuPaul, RuPaul’s Drag Race
Antoni Porowski, Bobby Berk, Jonathan Van Ness, Karamo Brown, Tan France, Queer Eye (Netflix)
Kristin Kish, Top Chef
Barbara Corcoran, Mark Cuban, Lori Greiner, Robert Herjavec, Daymond John, Kevin O’Leary, Shark Tank (ABC)
Nicole Byer, The Big Nailed It Baking Challenge

Also in the mix/Deserving dark horse: Alan Cumming (The Traitors). Occasionally, this category swells to six nominees, so we’re praying to the Emmy gods that voters acknowledge Cumming’s fashionable, gloriously camp performance — it truly is a performance — as king of The Traitors’ castle.

Structured Reality Program

Shark Tank
Queer Eye
Love is Blind (Netflix)
Diners, Drive-Ins and Dives (Food Network)
Antiques Roadshow (PBS)

Also in the mix: Fixer Upper: The Hotel (Magnolia)

Deserving dark horse: Finding Your Roots (PBS). A similar celebrity genealogy show, Who Do You Think You Are?, earned five nominations in this category. Why aren’t voters giving props to Finding Your Roots, which continues to make headlines in its 10th season?

Unstructured Reality Program

Welcome to Wrexham (FX)
RuPaul’s Drag Race: Untucked (MTV)
Selling Sunset (Netflix)
The Real Housewives of Salt Lake City (Bravo)
Below Deck Mediterranean (Bravo)

Untucked, Sunset, and last year’s winner, Welcome to Wrexham, should earn repeat noms, but we’re going to give the Vanderpump Rules slot to the wild fourth season of RHOSLC. You want Scandoval-level drama? These ladies have it all: Receipts! Proof! Timeline! Screenshots!

Also in the mix: Deadliest Catch (Discovery), Project Greenlight: A New Generation (Max)

Deserving dark horse: The Jerrod Carmichael Reality Show (HBO). In an effort to "live more truthfully" as an out gay man, the 36-year-old comedian lets a camera crew into his life — and the result is fascinating, uncomfortable, controversial, and unlike anything else on TV this year.

Nominations for the 76th Annual Primetime Emmy Awards will be announced on Wednesday, July 17. The ceremony will air live on Sunday, Sept. 15, at 8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT on ABC.

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