2024 BAFTA nominations predictions by movie: ‘Killers of the Flower Moon,’ ‘Oppenheimer’ will lead

Matthew Stewart
·4 min read
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Heading into the announcement of the 2024 BAFTA film nominations on Thursday, January 18, more than 2,000 Gold Derby users have made their predictions in 10 of the British academy’s 25 categories. Following their consistently strong showings with other movie awards organizations, the historical dramas “Killers of the Flower Moon” and “Oppenheimer” are expected to emerge as this year’s BAFTA bid leaders. Scroll down to see our full nominations predictions in 10 top BAFTA categories, sorted by film title and in descending order of their projected totals.

As anyone who’s been following the current awards race might expect, “Oppenheimer” is heavily favored to trounce “Killers of the Flower Moon” and the rest of its competitors in terms of BAFTA wins. Indeed, our odds presently indicate that it will clean up in six of the 10 categories in our predictions center (including Best Picture), while its presumed strongest challenger is set to snag the highest award for which it cannot compete: Best Actress (Lily Gladstone). All projected wins are highlighted below in gold.

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Also included among the 11 films that we believe will land in more than one of these 10 lineups are “All of Us Strangers,” “Barbie,” and “Poor Things” with five anticipated mentions apiece. The latter two are seen as surefire Best Picture nominees, along with the two forecasted nominations leaders and “Anatomy of a Fall.”

Our official 2024 BAFTA nominations odds are based on the predictions of said 2,000+ users, some of whom are classified as Experts, Editors, Top 24 Users, or All Star Top 24 Users. Check out the combined results of their picks below and then be sure to make or update your own predictions before time runs out.

“Killers of the Flower Moon”
Best Picture – 4/1
Best Director (Martin Scorsese) – 9/2
Best Actor (Leonardo DiCaprio) – 17/2
Best Actress (Lily Gladstone) – 37/10
Best Supporting Actor (Robert De Niro) – 15/2
Best Adapted Screenplay – 9/2
Best Casting – 4/1

“Oppenheimer”
Best Picture – 82/25
Best Director (Christopher Nolan) – 10/3
Best Actor (Cillian Murphy) – 69/20
Best Supporting Actor (Robert Downey Jr.) – 18/5
Best Supporting Actress (Emily Blunt) – 9/2
Best Adapted Screenplay – 10/3
Best Casting – 37/10

“All of Us Strangers”
Best Actor (Andrew Scott) – 6/1
Best Supporting Actor (Paul Mescal) – 15/2
Best Supporting Actress (Claire Foy) – 8/1
Best Adapted Screenplay – 9/2
Best Casting – 6/1

“Barbie”
Best Picture – 13/2
Best Director (Greta Gerwig) – 13/1
Best Supporting Actor (Ryan Gosling) – 5/1
Best Original Screenplay – 9/2
Best Casting – 11/2

“Poor Things”
Best Picture – 9/2
Best Director (Yorgos Lanthimos) – 11/2
Best Actress (Emma Stone) – 39/10
Best Supporting Actor (Mark Ruffalo) – 5/1
Best Adapted Screenplay – 19/5

“Anatomy of a Fall”
Best Picture – 6/1
Best Director (Justine Triet) – 15/2
Best Actress (Sandra Hüller) – 5/1
Best Original Screenplay – 10/3

“The Holdovers”
Best Actor (Paul Giamatti) – 6/1
Best Supporting Actor (Dominic Sessa) – 8/1
Best Supporting Actress (Da’Vine Joy Randolph) – 37/10
Best Original Screenplay – 4/1

“Saltburn”
Best Supporting Actress (Rosamund Pike) – 5/1
Best Original Screenplay – 7/1
Best Casting – 8/1

“The Zone of Interest”
Best Director (Jonathan Glazer) – 13/2
Best Supporting Actress (Sandra Hüller) – 8/1
Best Adapted Screenplay – 11/2

“Maestro”
Best Actor (Bradley Cooper) – 9/2
Best Actress (Carey Mulligan) – 15/2

“Past Lives”
Best Actress (Greta Lee) – 7/1
Best Original Screenplay – 4/1

“American Fiction”
Best Actor (Jeffrey Wright) – 10/1

“The Boy and the Heron”
Best Animated Feature – 57/20

“Chicken Run: Dawn of the Nugget”
Best Animated Feature – 9/2

“The Color Purple”
Best Supporting Actress (Danielle Brooks) – 6/1

“How to Have Sex”
Best Actress (Mia McKenna-Bruce) – 14/1

“Nimona”
Best Animated Feature – 9/2

“Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse”
Best Animated Feature – 51/20

PREDICT the 2024 BAFTA Awards nominations through January 18

Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone devices or Android (Google Play) to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. See our latest prediction champs. Can you top our esteemed leaderboards next? Always remember to keep your predictions updated because they impact our latest racetrack odds, which terrify Hollywood chiefs and stars. Don’t miss the fun. Speak up and share your huffy opinions in our famous forums where 5,000 showbiz leaders lurk every day to track latest awards buzz. Everybody wants to know: What do you think? Who do you predict and why?

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