2023 Emmy Awards predictions: Our official odds in all 26 categories

At long last, the 75th Emmy Awards have arrived. After a four-month delay, the celebration of the best in television from the 2022-2023 season will air on Monday, Jan. 15 on Fox. Scroll down for our official odds in all 26 television categories with our projected winners highlighted in gold.

In the comedy categories, “The Bear” looks to win big for its first season — even though it has already aired and received Golden Globe Awards for its second. Our odds anticipate it will make a near-complete sweep with six wins out of the seven categories. The only place it will not win is Comedy Actress, where they do not have a contender and where our users think Quinta Brunson will win for “Abbott Elementary.” These six wins will be added to “The Bear’s” four trophies from the Creative Arts ceremonies that took place last weekend, where it won for casting, picture editing, sound editing and sound mixing.

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We expect another major sweep in the drama categories, where “Succession” will also win in six of the seven races. Its total will include first-time victories for Sarah Snook and Kieran Culkin and a second win for Matthew Macfadyen. If creator Jesse Armstrong wins Drama Writing as our odds predict, he will have won the writing award for every single season of the series. “The White Lotus” scene-stealer Jennifer Coolidge will take home a second trophy for her portrayal of Tayna McQuoid. “The White Lotus” previously won the casting award for drama at the Creative Arts.

Unlike the comedy and drama races, the movie/limited series categories will split between recent awards magnet “Beef” and “Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story.” While we expect “Beef” to take home the top prize, actress for Ali Wong and the writing and directing awards, “Monster” looks to have a leg up on the acting trophies with wins for Evan Peters and Niecy Nash-Betts. Other categories that will be presented in the telecast include competition (where “RuPaul’s Drag Race” will prevail) and variety (with winners including Stephen Colbert, Elton John and John Oliver).

These official odds for the 2023 Primetime Emmy Awards are derived from the predictions of our Experts, Editors, Top 24 Users, All-Star Top 24 and all our Users, who make up the largest and often savviest bloc of predictors. See below for our complete official odds in all 26 categories. Make or update your predictions by Jan. 15 before the ceremony begins.

COMEDY

COMEDY SERIES
The Bear — 9/2
Ted Lasso — 5/1
Abbott Elementary — 13/2
Jury Duty — 8/1
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel — 17/2
Barry — 17/2
Only Murders in the Building — 9/1
Wednesday — 10/1

COMEDY ACTRESS
Quinta Brunson, “Abbott Elementary” — 69/20
Rachel Brosnahan, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” — 37/10
Christina Applegate, “Dead to Me” — 4/1
Natasha Lyonne, “Poker Face” — 9/2
Jenna Ortega, “Wednesday” — 9/2

COMEDY ACTOR
Jeremy Allen White, “The Bear” — 31/10
Jason Sudeikis, “Ted Lasso” — 19/5
Bill Hader, “Barry” — 9/2
Martin Short, “Only Murders in the Building” — 9/2
Jason Segal, “Shrinking” — 9/2

COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Ayo Edebiri, “The Bear” — 5/1
Sheryl Lee Ralph, “Abbott Elementary” — 11/2
Hannah Waddingham, “Ted Lasso” — 6/1
Alex Borstein, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” — 13/2
Janelle James, “Abbott Elementary” — 13/2
Jessica Williams, “Shrinking” — 7/1
Juno Temple, “Ted Lasso” — 7/1

COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTOR
Ebon Moss-Bachrach, “The Bear” — 5/1
Brett Goldstein, “Ted Lasso” — 11/2
James Marsden, “Jury Duty” — 6/1
Tyler James Williams, “Abbott Elementary” — 6/1
Phil Dunster, “Ted Lasso” — 13/2
Anthony Carrigan, “Barry” — 13/2
Henry Winkler, “Barry” — 7/1

COMEDY DIRECTING
The Bear, “Review” — 17/5
Ted Lasso, “So Long, Farewell” — 4/1
Barry, “Wow” — 5/1
Wednesday, “Wednesday’s Child Is Full of Woe” — 11/2
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel, “Four Minutes” — 6/1
The Ms. Pat Show, “Don’t Touch My Hair” — 15/2

COMEDY WRITING
The Bear, “System” — 69/20
Ted Lasso, “So Long, Farewell” — 4/1
Only Murders in the Building, “I Know Who Did It” — 11/2
Barry, “Wow” — 6/1
Jury Duty, “Ineffective Assistance” — 6/1
The Other Two, “Cary and Brooke Go to an AIDS Play” — 13/2

DRAMA

DRAMA SERIES
Succession — 39/10
The White Lotus — 11/2
The Last of Us — 13/2
Better Call Saul — 15/2
The Crown — 9/1
Andor — 9/1
Yellowjackets — 19/2
House of the Dragon — 19/2

DRAMA ACTRESS
Sarah Snook, “Succession” — 10/3
Bella Ramsey, “The Last of Us” — 4/1
Melanie Lynskey, “Yellowjackets” — 5/1
Sharon Horgan, “Bad Sisters” — 6/1
Keri Russell, “The Diplomat” — 6/1
Elisabeth Moss, “The Handmaid’s Tale” — 7/1

DRAMA ACTOR
Kieran Culkin, “Succession” — 69/20
Pedro Pascal, “The Last of Us” — 9/2
Jeremy Strong, “Succession” — 9/2
Bob Odenkirk, “Better Call Saul” — 11/2
Brian Cox, “Succession” — 13/2
Jeff Bridges, “The Old Man” — 15/2

DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Coolidge, “The White Lotus” — 4/1
Rhea Seehorn, “Better Call Saul” — 11/2
J. Smith-Cameron, “Succession” — 13/2
Aubrey Plaza, “The White Lotus” — 15/2
Elizabeth Debicki, “The Crown” — 15/2
Meghann Fahy, “The White Lotus” — 17/2
Sabrina Impacciatore, “The White Lotus” — 19/2
Simona Tabasco, “The White Lotus” — 10/1

DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTOR
Matthew Macfadyen, “Succession” — 4/1
Alexander Skarsgård, “Succession” — 11/2
Alan Ruck, “Succession” — 13/2
F. Murray Abraham, “The White Lotus” — 8/1
Nicholas Braun, “Succession” — 17/2
Will Sharpe, “The White Lotus” — 17/2
Michael Imperioli, “The White Lotus” — 19/2
Theo James, “The White Lotus” — 19/2

DRAMA DIRECTING
Succession, “Connor’s Wedding” — 5/1
The Last of Us, “Long, Long Time” — 11/2
The White Lotus, “Arrivederci” — 6/1
Succession, “America Decides” — 6/1
Succession, “Living+” — 13/2
Andor, “Rix Road” — 13/2
Bad Sisters, “The Prick” — 7/1

DRAMA WRITING
Succession, “Connor’s Wedding” — 9/2
The White Lotus, “Arrivederci” — 11/2
The Last of Us, “Long, Long Time” — 6/1
Better Call Saul, “Saul Gone” — 13/2
Better Call Saul, “Point and Shoot” — 13/2
Andor, “One Way Out” — 13/2
Bad Sisters, “The Prick” — 7/1

MOVIE/LIMITED SERIES

LIMITED SERIES
Beef — 31/10
Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story — 39/10
Daisy Jones & The Six — 9/2
Fleishman Is in Trouble — 9/2
Obi-Wan Kenobi — 9/2

MOVIE/LIMITED ACTRESS
Ali Wong, “Beef” — 7/2
Jessica Chastain, “George and Tammy” — 4/1
Dominique Fishback, “Swarm” — 5/1
Riley Keough, “Daisy Jones & The Six” — 11/2
Lizzy Caplan, “Fleishman Is in Trouble” — 6/1
Kathryn Hahn, “Tiny Beautiful Things” — 7/1

MOVIE/LIMITED ACTOR
Evan Peters, “Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” — 18/5
Steven Yeun, “Beef” — 37/10
Daniel Radcliffe, “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” — 5/1
Taron Egerton, “Black Bird” — 6/1
Michael Shannon, “George and Tammy” — 13/2
Kumail Nanjiani, “Welcome to Chippendales” — 7/1

MOVIE/LIMITED SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Niecy Nash-Betts, “Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” — 9/2
Claire Danes, “Fleishman Is in Trouble” — 11/2
Maria Bello, “Beef” — 6/1
Merritt Wever, “Tiny Beautiful Things” — 6/1
Camila Morrone, “Daisy Jones & The Six” — 13/2
Annaleigh Ashford, “Welcome to Chippendales” — 7/1
Juliette Lewis, “Welcome to Chippendales” — 7/1

MOVIE/LIMITED SUPPORTING ACTOR
Paul Walter Hauser, “Black Bird” — 5/1
Young Mazino, “Beef” — 11/2
Richard Jenkins, “Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” — 6/1
Ray Liotta, “Black Bird” — 6/1
Murray Bartlett, “Welcome to Chippendales” — 13/2
Jesse Plemons, “Love and Death” — 13/2
Joseph Lee, “Beef” — 7/1

MOVIE/LIMITED DIRECTING
Beef, “Figures of Light” — 71/20
Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story, “Silenced” — 4/1
Beef, “The Great Fabricator” — 5/1
Fleishman Is in Trouble — 11/2
Prey — 13/2
Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story, “Bad Meat” — 7/1

MOVIE/LIMITED WRITING
Beef — 82/25
Fleishman Is in Trouble — 4/1
Weird: The Al Yankovic Story — 5/1
Swarm — 6/1
Fire Island — 6/1
Prey — 7/1

COMPETITION

COMPETITION PROGRAM
RuPaul’s Drag Race — 31/10
The Amazing Race — 4/1
Survivor — 9/2
Top Chef — 9/2
The Voice — 9/2

VARIETY

VARIETY TALK SERIES
Late Show with Stephen Colbert — 16/5
The Problem with John Stewart — 4/1
Late Night with Seth Meyers — 4/1
Daily Show with Trevor Noah — 9/2
Jimmy Kimmel Live — 9/2

VARIETY SCRIPTED SERIES
Last Week Tonight with John Oliver — 11/8
Saturday Night Live — 2/1
A Black Lady Sketch Show — 3/1

VARIETY SPECIAL LIVE
Elton John: Farewell from Dodger Stadium — 82/25
Tony Awards — 39/10
Super Bowl LVII Halftime Show — 4/1
Chris Rock: Selective Outrage — 9/2
The Oscars — 9/2

VARIETY SERIES WRITING
Last Week Tonight with John Oliver — 31/10
Late Show with Stephen Colbert — 4/1
Late Night with Seth Meyers — 4/1
Saturday Night Live — 9/2
Daily Show with Trevor Noah — 9/2

PREDICT the 2023 Primetime Emmy Awards through January 15

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