2023 Billboard Music Awards predictions: Our official odds in top categories
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There will be 69 trophies handed out at the Billboard Music Awards on Sunday, November 19. So who will the big winners be? Gold Derby users have placed their bets here in our predictions center. Those predictions have been combined to generate our official racetrack odds. Scroll down to see those odds in 17 hotly contested categories. Our projected winners are highlighted in gold. But there’s still time for you to make or update your own forecasts before this weekend’s winners are unveiled.
The BBMAs were previously handed out in the spring, but this year they moved to the fall to align with Billboard’s year-end charts, whose tracking period is November 19, 2022 through October 21, 2023. Winners are based on popularity, but fans don’t get to vote for their favorites online, per se. Instead, these awards are decided by the same audience interaction metrics that determine the weekly Billboard charts, including album sales, song sales, radio airplay and online streams.
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Taylor Swift enters with the most nominations: she’s a finalist in 20 categories, including Top Artist, which she has won twice before. Her chart achievements over the past year include a couple of number-one albums — “Midnights” and “Speak Now (Taylor’s Version)” — plus a couple of number-one songs — “Anti-Hero” and “Cruel Summer.” Next up with 17 citations is Morgan Wallen, who is also up for Top Artist; he spent 16 weeks at number-one with his album “One Thing at a Time” and also with his single “Last Night.” SZA is also up for 17 awards; her sophomore album “SOS” was number-one for 10 weeks, a remarkable feat for an R&B album in this day and age.
These awards will follow a unique format, with winners announced through Billboard’s social channels and on BBMAs.watch. Performers at the event will include Bebe Rexha, Peso Pluma, Tate McRae and Mariah Carey. Check out the complete list of artists taking the stage.
TOP ARTIST
Taylor Swift — 39/10
Morgan Wallen — 5/1
SZA — 11/2
Drake — 11/2
Luke Combs — 11/2
TOP NEW ARTIST
Zach Bryan — 4/1
Peso Pluma — 5/1
Ice Spice — 5/1
Jelly Roll — 11/2
Bailey Zimmerman — 6/1
TOP FEMALE ARTIST
Taylor Swift — 39/10
SZA — 5/1
Miley Cyrus — 11/2
Olivia Rodrigo — 11/2
Beyonce — 11/2
TOP MALE ARTIST
Morgan Wallen — 4/1
The Weeknd — 5/1
Zach Bryan — 11/2
Drake — 11/2
Luke Combs — 11/2
TOP DUO OR GROUP
Fuerza Regida — 4/1
Metallica — 5/1
Grupo Frontera — 5/1
Eslabon Armado — 11/2
Fifty Fifty — 11/2
TOP R&B ARTIST
SZA — 4/1
The Weeknd — 9/2
Beyonce — 11/2
Chris Brown — 11/2
Rihanna — 11/2
TOP RAP ARTIST
Drake — 39/10
Metro Boomin — 5/1
Travis Scott — 11/2
21 Savage — 11/2
Lil Baby — 11/2
TOP ROCK ARTIST
Zach Bryan — 39/10
Steve Lacy — 5/1
Noah Kahan — 11/2
Jelly Roll — 11/2
Stephen Sanchez — 11/2
TOP COUNTRY ARTIST
Morgan Wallen — 4/1
Zach Bryan — 5/1
Taylor Swift — 5/1
Luke Combs — 11/2
Bailey Zimmerman — 6/1
TOP LATIN ARTIST
Karol G — 4/1
Peso Pluma — 5/1
Bad Bunny — 5/1
Eslabon Armado — 11/2
Fuerza Regida — 6/1
TOP DANCE/ELECTRONIC ARTIST
Beyonce — 4/1
Drake — 5/1
David Guetta — 5/1
Calvin Harris — 11/2
Tiesto — 11/2
TOP GLOBAL K-POP ARTIST
Jimin — 4/1
Stray Kids — 9/2
NewJeans — 11/2
Tomorrow X Together — 11/2
Twice — 11/2
TOP AFROBEATS ARTIST
Rema — 39/10
Burna Boy — 5/1
Wizkid — 11/2
Libianca — 11/2
Tems — 11/2
TOP BILLBOARD 200 ALBUM
Taylor Swift, “Midnights” — 4/1
Morgan Wallen, “One Thing at a Time” — 9/2
SZA, “SOS” — 11/2
Drake and 21 Savage, “Her Loss” — 11/2
Metro Boomin, “Heroes and Villains” — 6/1
TOP HOT 100 SONG
Morgan Wallen, “Last Night” — 4/1
Miley Cyrus, “Flowers” — 5/1
Taylor Swift, “Anti-Hero” — 5/1
SZA, “Kill Bill” — 11/2
Metro Boomin, The Weeknd and 21 Savage, “Creepin'” — 6/1
TOP COLLABORATION
Metro Boomin, The Weeknd and 21 Savage, “Creepin'” — 4/1
Rema and Selena Gomez, “Calm Down” — 9/2
Sam Smith and Kim Petras, “Unholy” — 11/2
The Weeknd and Ariana Grande, “Die for You” — 11/2
David Guetta and Bebe Rexha, “I’m Good (Blue)” — 11/2
TOP SOUNDTRACK
“Barbie” — 39/10
“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” — 5/1
“Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” — 11/2
“Elvis” — 11/2
“Top Gun: Maverick” — 11/2
PREDICTthe Billboard Music Award winners now
Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone devices or Android (Google Play) to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. See our latest prediction champs. Can you top our esteemed leaderboards next? Always remember to keep your predictions updated because they impact our latest racetrack odds, which terrify record executives and music stars. Don’t miss the fun. Speak up and share your huffy opinions in our famous forums where thousands of showbiz leaders lurk every day to track latest awards buzz. Everybody wants to know: What do you think? Who do you predict and why?
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