Stephen Koukoulas

Stephen Koukoulas is no nonsense economist who calls it without fear or favour. He is currently Managing Director of Market Economics as well as being a Research Fellow, Per Capita. Stephen is also a keynote speaker at Ode Management.

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OPINION: Get cracking, Mr Albanese – the economy needs a major overhaul
Incoming Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has inherited some severe economic challenges. Here's what the Labor Government needs do to steer Australia through these tricky waters, writes Stephen Koukoulas.
6d ago
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OPINION: Tough economic choices will be needed after the election
Scott Morrison or Anthony Albanese: Here's why whoever wins the federal election next week will have a tough job ahead.
13d ago
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OPINION: Why rising interest rates won’t stress mortgage holders
The long-overdue hiking in interest rates has begun but that doesn't mean mortgage holders will now struggle to make their monthly repayments. Stephen Koukoulas explains why.
19d ago
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OPINION: Interest rate hikes – the upswing begins
We’re likely to see a sharp tightening in monetary policy now that the RBA has finally started hiking rates. Here’s why.
a month ago
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OPINION: Rates must rise: Surging inflation makes a mockery of RBA's stance
Inflation has smashed through the top end of the RBA's target range, meaning the cash rate could be hiked as early as next week, and by more than initially predicted.
a month ago
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OPINION: No new taxes sounds good if you want essential services cut
The Morrison Government's pledge of no new taxes is a classic example of politics swamping good economic policy and suggests the Coalition has given up on repairing the Budget.
a month ago
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Interest rates are going up: What you can expect
We know rates are going up, but when will that start, how fast will they rise and where will they end up? Here's why all of that matters.
a month ago
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Interest rates could rise 3% on back of jobs figures
Another month of strong unemployment data is welcome news for the economy and further evidence for the RBA to raise interest rates. Stephen Koukoulas explains why.
a month ago
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OPINION: The benefits of booming house prices
While surging house prices can be bad news for those trying to buy their first home, the overall benefits to the economy are many, writes Stephen Koukoulas.
2 months ago
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OPINION: Why the RBA made a big mistake keeping the cash rate on hold
The interest rate was cut to an extreme low when the economy outlook was gloomy. But now things have changed, shouldn't the cash rate change too?
2 months ago
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OPINION: Frydenberg’s big-spending Budget a policy mistake
An overheating economy requires a government to rein in spending. But Josh Frydenberg's Budget is just adding fuel to the fire, writes Stephen Koukoulas.
2 months ago
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Budget 2022: Morrison Government on track to be ‘highest taxing’ in history
Surging employment, record-high commodity prices and booming tax receipts from high inflation should see an improvement in the Budget’s deficit numbers. But these fortuitous tax flows would be best saved by the Government. Here’s why.
2 months ago
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OPINION: Jobs boom more evidence RBA must hike rates
The remarkable employment figures and still-surging inflation mean the RBA must raise rates in May. If it doesn’t, it will undermine a critical part of its mandate, writes Stephen Koukoulas.
2 months ago
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OPINION: Why cutting the petrol excise is a stupid idea
As Aussies come to grips with umprecedented fuel prices, calls are growing for a cut to the fuel excise. Stephen Koukoulas explains why that's not such a great idea.
2 months ago
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‘An extraordinary time’: Inflation poised to hit 32-year high
As inflation continues its surge towards once-in-a-generation levels, the impact to business and ultimately consumers will be huge. So, why is the RBA still refusing to raise interest rates?
3 months ago
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What's behind Australia's multi-speed housing market?
While interest rates are almost certain to rise, history suggests that won't necessarily mean a drop in house prices. Here are some other factors that will have an impact.
3 months ago
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OPINION: Wages rising, inflation surging: Interest rates are next
Inflation has been on the charge and now wages growth is joining the party. Here's what this means for the RBA and official interest rates.
3 months ago
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Labour market boom stutters but still on track
The Omicron outbreak may have put a dent in Australia's resurgent jobs market across December and January but the unemployment rate remains on track to drop below 4 per cent by year's end.
3 months ago
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Why high inflation is bad for everyone
As we transition out of one of the longest periods of low inflation, it's just a matter of time before the RBA is forced to raise interest rates. Here's why they need to act sooner rather than later.
4 months ago
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Australia’s commodities boom: Is it about to end?
While a global commodity price bust remains unlikely, we may be set for a period where prices edge lower, as economic policy is tightened around the world, writes Stephen Koukoulas.
4 months ago