Joanna Li
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Coronavirus Vaccine Progress Accelerates
Diagnostic testing, treatment, and a coronavirus vaccine could allow near-normal distancing and nonessential business recovery by mid-2021.
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Relaxing the Lockdown: Move Slowly, Stay Nimble
COVID-19, the disease caused by SARS-CoV-2 (coronavirus), has spread across the globe, and as we enter May, several countries and U.S. states are testing ways to relax lockdowns and begin paving the way for economic recovery. While we don’t think U.S. states will follow federal guidelines for reopening, we expect the transition to be gradual and that they will quickly reverse any moves that lead to a spike in new cases. Diagnostic testing has improved more rapidly than we anticipated, to around 250,000 a day, and we think a combination of continued social distancing (masks and six-foot rule), steady improvement to 800,000 tests per day by the end of the year (which facilitates contact tracing and surveillance), broader availability of Gilead’s remdesivir, and potential targeted antibodies and vaccines by the end of the year in high-risk populations should allow visits to nonessential businesses like restaurants, salons, and retailers to recover to 30% below prepandemic levels by year-end, from a trough at around 65% below in March.
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Russell 3000 Job Demand Continues Decline In April - Industry Hiring Patterns Begin To Diverge Across Industries
Demand for US jobs among Russell 3000 companies remained highly depressed during April, although certain industries such as Retail and Transportation pulled back on hiring faster. This is according to labor market intelligence firm Greenwich.HR, which tracks hiring and pay behaviors. Hiring volume continues to change significantly on a weekly basis as companies struggle to deal with the evolving implications of the COVID-19 pandemic.
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Job Listings For IT Workers Have Fallen 85 Percent in Four Weeks As Companies Pull Back From IT Investments
Demand for US IT jobs has fallen precipitously since March 15, and the volume of job listings for IT workers has dropped 85 percent. This is according to labor market intelligence firm Greenwich.HR, which tracks daily hiring and job listing activity.
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Companies on the Front Lines of the Coronavirus Fight
Faced with one of the greatest economic challenges ever, U.S. corporations -- both inside and outside of the Healthcare sector -- are reallocating resources in an all-hands battle against COVID-19. Here are some of the companies and what they are doing.
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US Job Advertisements Crater During Second Half of March
This is according to labor market intelligence firm Greenwich.HR, which tracks hiring and pay behaviors. ‘In the second half of March, the bottom fell out of hiring,’ Says Kevin Moldestad, COO of Greenwich.HR.
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Wow! Insider Buy Activity Soars
We can well imagine that “wow” has been uttered by more than just a few people of late - about the spread of the coronavirus, the impact of the virus on share prices and the global economy, and about the change in lifestyle that has taken place in a mere matter of weeks. But for those of us who follow insider-sentiment data from Vickers Stock Research, recent data has led us to a “double-wow”. Two weeks ago, we pointed out that corporate insiders reacted to stock price declines by increasing their purchases of shares in the companies at which they work.
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Panic Low?: Argus Technical Research
The S&P 500 plunged 12% on Monday, it's worst one-day decline since the crash of October 19, 1987. From its all-time high on February 19, the index is down 29.5% in just 18 days, also the worst decline since 1987. The index closed at 2,386 and is rapidly approaching key chart support near 2,350 from the lows in December 2018. Interestingly, that area also represents a key Fibonacci retracement of 38.2% of the entire bull market since 2009.
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The Argus Wish List of Stocks for Bargain Hunters
The current equity market malaise almost led to a bear market following heavy selling pressure on Monday March 9, with the S&P 500 falling 19% from its recent peak. While volatility is likely to remain high as the range of economic and corporate profit outcomes continues to be considered, and as monetary and fiscal stimulus measures are likely announced, we believe many high-quality stocks have been oversold and represent opportunities for investors on the lookout for bargains. We screened for companies in our coverage universe that have the following criteria: Buy-rated, at least 20% below their 52-week high, a Financial Strength rating of High (indicating a strong balance sheet that can weather a downturn), and where we have at least have a market weight recommendation on the sector. The list of 26 high-quality stocks is below.
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February Job Advertisements Down 13% From January, Softening Hiring Outlook for Q2
This is according to labor market intelligence firm Greenwich.HR, which tracks hiring and pay behaviors. This analysis is based on job listing data from all Russell 3000 companies.
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Is the Market Oversold? Argus Technical Analysis
Tuesdays are supposed to mark turnarounds in the market, moving in the opposite direction after a big move on Monday. Not this time! After cratering 112 points on Monday, the S&P 500 (SPY) fell another 98 points, with a two-day decline of 6.3%. That's the largest two-day loss since August 2015. The most recent two-day decline of over 6% was when the market was correcting after its parabolic move from late 2017/early 2018.
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Changes to the Argus Focus List
Argus has made several changes to its Focus List. The following four stocks have been added.
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Argus Technical Analysis: Further to Run?
Looking at this from another technical angle (Elliott Wave), it’s likely that we are in Primary Wave 5 of this bull market (or the last major wave higher).
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Premium partner spotlight: Argus Research
Yahoo Finance has partnered with Argus Research as an independent research provider for our new Yahoo Finance Premium service.
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Tesla Price Target Raised to $808 at Argus
We are maintaining our BUY rating on Tesla Inc. (TSLA) and raising our target price to $808 from $556. In 2020, Tesla expects more than 500,000 vehicle deliveries, driven primarily by the ramp-up of Model 3 production in Shanghai.
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January Hiring Demand Outlook Pulls Back 13.6% Compared To December, Remains Very Strong Year-Over-Year
Demand for US jobs among Russell 3000 companies remained strong during January, up 185% compared to January 2019. Job listing data typically precede actual hiring by 2-4 months. Also notable is the shift towards hiring higher-paying positions.
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Amazon: Thumbing its Nose at Wall Street’s Conventional Metrics
Amazon.com (AMZN) closed up 7% on Friday despite the broader market’s deep selloff, after announcing blow-out results for 4Q19. The company delivered 20%-plus sales growth and mid-single-digit GAAP profit growth despite higher fulfillment & shipping costs.
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Outlook For New Hire Pay Shows 3.1% Increase Entering 2020 Indicates Increased Hiring For Higher-Paying Positions
Average salaries of advertised jobs rose 3.1 percent nationwide in December, according to labor market intelligence firm Greenwich.HR. But, the outlook varies significantly across industry sectors and by job type. “We’re seeing a drop in expected pay levels for higher-paying roles, while advertised pay for other jobs is basically staying flat,” Said Cary Sparrow, Greenwich.HR CEO. “But, the real story seems to be the shift in hiring demand towards higher paying jobs, which is driving the overall average up.”
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The Argus Research View on Texas Instruments
Texas Instruments shares dipped 1% in a down market after posting annual declines in revenue and EPS for 4Q19 but beating consensus expectations for both. The company cheered semiconductor investors when it characterized its end markets as “stabilizing,” while not expressing undue optimism about the outlook.
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Target Price Raised on Capital One Financial
Capital One Financial (COF) shares jumped over 4% on January 22 following strong 4Q earnings of $2.49 per share, well above the $2.28 consensus. Average loans grew 8% in 4Q19, up from 4% in 3Q19. The net interest margin also expanded on a better lending mix.