Record-shattering Great Lakes water levels could be even higher in 2020

DETROIT – It appears 2020 won't bring relief from high Great Lakes water levels – and they could be even higher than this past record-shattering spring and summer.

Following a generally rainy September, measurements by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers show every Great Lake, and Lake St. Clair, well above long-term monthly average water levels for October – almost 3 feet higher on connected lakes Michigan and Huron (35 inches) and on Lake St. Clair (33 inches). Lake Erie is 29 inches above long-term October averages, Lake Ontario 20 inches above and Lake Superior 15 inches above.

Forecasters now predict Lakes Michigan and Huron will start 2020 at 11 inches higher than water levels in January 2019, said Keith Kompoltowicz, chief of watershed hydrology at the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers in Detroit.

"The latest forecast extends into March, and for the most part, levels are going to be on-par with or above where they were at the same time last year," he said.

The shoreline of Lake Michigan seen from Big Sable Point Lighthouse in Ludington Sate Park Thursday, July 11, 2019.
The shoreline of Lake Michigan seen from Big Sable Point Lighthouse in Ludington Sate Park Thursday, July 11, 2019.

Whether records go even higher next summer will be determined by factors such as snowpack and whether heavier-than-usual rains occur for a fourth straight spring, Kompoltowicz said.

Lake Superior, Lake St. Clair, Lake Erie and Lake Ontario set new record high water levels over the summer, with lakes Michigan and Huron an inch or less off their 100-year highs. In July, lakes Erie and Ontario broke their monthly records by more than 4 inches.

Across the region, that led to flooded campgrounds and streets along Great Lakes connected waterways, caused boating problems with submerged structures, and caused shoreline erosion that all but eradicated some Lake Michigan beaches.

Doris Fleming has lived on Harbor Island Street in Detroit's Jefferson-Chalmers neighborhood for more than six decades. She has seen a lot of flooding off the nearby Detroit River in high-water years, and this past spring and summer was among the worst, she said.

Volunteers palsied sandbags along canals in the Jefferson Chalmers neighborhood to hold back the rising Detroit River Thursday, July 11, 2019 in Detroit, Mich.
Volunteers palsied sandbags along canals in the Jefferson Chalmers neighborhood to hold back the rising Detroit River Thursday, July 11, 2019 in Detroit, Mich.
A family of ducks swim in shallow water on the shores of Lake Michigan Saturday, Sept. 7, 2019, near a break wall in Northport Michigan that once was home to a sandy beach shoreline.
A family of ducks swim in shallow water on the shores of Lake Michigan Saturday, Sept. 7, 2019, near a break wall in Northport Michigan that once was home to a sandy beach shoreline.